Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 83724.928883 88376.124213 93026.309372 98021.039431 103230.684764 108500.914683 114232.072306
2025-02-16 75395.109067 82468.720928 89740.432482 97764.241008 106359.196011 115279.340583 125226.368034
2025-02-23 69933.991998 78674.558145 87858.156735 98205.487718 109517.967121 121488.336721 135090.743690
2025-03-02 65502.146724 75457.988804 86112.063173 98326.839201 111907.867673 126508.560069 143355.741940
2025-03-09 62668.712577 73690.093962 85672.113482 99615.027357 115340.564066 132474.126640 152498.523257
2025-03-16 59266.311835 71031.092607 84009.674208 99320.089617 116814.869241 136108.707210 158919.920026
2025-03-23 57377.822813 69944.413337 83988.373344 100756.308936 120136.890817 141737.462020 167532.924374
2025-03-30 55402.883527 68627.517795 83588.251623 101653.239246 122756.382179 146508.104728 175135.523481
2025-04-06 53207.877946 66933.947663 82644.969846 101821.362129 124450.672575 150157.050214 181411.063496
2025-04-13 51088.354524 65227.423419 81593.737095 101775.951349 125821.752336 153376.978228 187153.873666
2025-04-20 49981.757051 64676.211739 81858.421093 103242.866138 128940.485640 158618.624940 195262.579516
2025-04-27 48946.852021 64156.317593 82113.592159 104659.452121 131973.837171 163751.762051 203257.048944
2025-05-04 47547.132778 63154.318224 81765.671748 105343.788216 134146.879167 167908.237485 210170.826337
2025-05-11 45881.175208 61762.489347 80891.419167 105344.363002 135464.433511 171032.645131 215863.290435
2025-05-18 44581.493253 60780.147706 80477.262112 105871.125819 137394.261810 174878.898762 222428.054182
2025-05-25 43177.517184 59612.773566 79786.099988 106012.389188 138818.328856 178094.550515 228228.064781
2025-06-01 42436.214161 59264.228240 80096.168706 107384.029858 141753.083315 183152.408870 236291.502588
2025-06-08 40966.362218 57920.655752 79101.437022 107071.155108 142557.623273 185580.603822 241130.888903
2025-06-15 40399.703664 57736.130473 79566.961466 108597.450919 145663.135518 190851.909821 249495.239517
2025-06-22 39614.318777 57233.229154 79598.652925 109550.459749 148035.902128 195218.334660 256760.013895
2025-06-29 38537.325791 56306.408653 79049.827585 109729.084039 149406.033874 198327.210452 262466.804981
2025-07-06 37417.107433 55286.742191 78348.195944 109680.839702 150464.087553 201032.934257 267670.343140
2025-07-13 37007.699377 55216.425056 78883.653811 111239.200679 153587.193762 206350.031015 276181.289381